This is no ordinary Madrid derby, this is a top of the table Madrid derby.
You can hear the studs being sharpened all across the Spanish capital as two tribes gear up for what should be a titanic Real Madrid v Atletico Madrid clash in La Liga on Saturday evening.
Our tipster Oli Nixon is padded up in full protective gear as he delivers a beautiful Bet Builder for a clash that may well be all about the ugly side of the game. Get into ’em!
Real Madrid v Atletico Madrid betting tips
Both teams to score? Yes
Samuel Lino to have 2+ shots
Samuel Lino to have 1+ shots on target
Federico Valverde to commit 1+ fouls
WHEN: Saturday 8th February, 8pm
WHERE: Bernabeu, Madrid
TV: Premier Sports 1 and LALIGATV
Both teams to score? Yes
The last eight head-to-heads across league and cup competitions have seen both teams score in this fixture. With so much on the line, neither side will be willing to settle for a point and instead will be looking for a valuable win to remain clear of Barcelona.
Real Madrid have seen both teams score in each of their last 3 matches at the Bernabeu across all competitions and in all of the last 4 meetings on home soil. Atletico have been characteristically tight at the back all season but have seen both teams on the scoresheet in 3 of their last 6 on their travels.
Samuel Lino to have 2+ shots
Playing in his more natural role on the left wing in recent weeks has seen Atleti’s Samuel Lino thriving in front of goal. The Brazilian has fired off 3.14 shots per 90 this season and across his last 4 appearances has had 11 efforts at goal, scoring on 3 occasions.
Real Madrid are not a side who concede lots of shots at just 9.4 per game on their own patch, however, Lino came off the bench in the reverse fixture and had 2 shots in just 34 minutes and so clearly shines in the atmosphere of the derby.
Samuel Lino to have 1+ shots on target
As you’d expect, an increase in Lino’s shot volume has also resulted in him hitting the target more often. 6 shots on target in his last 4 games have brought his season average to 1.15 per 90 and having scored in the Super Cup tie last season, he should fancy his chances again.
Again, Real don’t concede many shots on target but the last 4 head-to-heads have seen Atletico rack up 27 shots on target and so Simeone clearly knows how to create chances against this Real rearguard.
Federico Valverde to commit 1+ fouls
Federico Valverde isn’t a player you’d instantly associate with fouls as evidenced by his average of just 0.28 fouls per 90 this season. However, in this fixture, he clearly gets immersed in the atmosphere as he’s made 0.95 fouls per 90 and has landed this bet in 5 of the last 7 meetings.
Valverde may also be preferred to Lucas Vazquez at right back as he was in midweek against Leganes. If so, he will be directly opposing our man Samuel Lino who has been fouled 1.87 times per 90 this season and 6 times in his last 3 starts against Real Madrid.
Madrid derby betting tips
Both teams to score? Yes
Samuel Lino to have 2+ shots
Samuel Lino to have 1+ shots on target
Federico Valverde to commit 1+ fouls
*All prices are bang up to date with our snazzy widgets, while odds in copy are accurate at time of publishing but subject to change.
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