7/1 EFL Acca

In Huddersfield’s home games and Reading’s away games, there’s an average of roughly 11 corners per match—that’s the first green tick for me. The second is the style clash.

Huddersfield at home are a high-pressing, all-action side that looks to take plenty of shots and force errors high up the pitch, whilst Reading’s approach away from home is to break quickly in attack, with the likes of Campbell, Knibbs, and Camara posing a real threat. I see both sides crafting plenty of chances here, and as such I expect the corner numbers to rise accordingly.

Over the past few games Lincoln have averaged an xG of around 1.8 per 90, which is high for a side that for most of the season has been a defence-first team. In contrast, Cambridge have struggled, with an xGA of approximately 1.5, and just 1 win in their last 11 games.

What’s more, Cambridge are absolutely terrible away from home. They’ve won just once on the road all season, and have the worst away record in the entire league. Lincoln are sat about mid-table for home form, but have won 3 of their last 5 at home and I see them kicking on and going on a bit of a run after keeping hold of some key players in the January window.

Burton have undergone a resurgence under Gary Bowyer. Rather than the heavy possession-based team they aimed to be at the start of the season, they’ve transitioned into a highly efficient counter-attacking side. They create high-quality chances every three shots, attacking with pace, delivering crosses, and getting numbers forward into the box.

Blackpool, on the other hand, are as streaky as they come, but one thing is almost guaranteed—they will create multiple high-quality chances per game. They’re not a team that passes for the sake of it or looks to sit on a 1-0 lead; instead, they thrive in end-to-end games. Given Burton’s current trajectory, this one has the potential to turn into a goal fest.

Oldham are the form team here. They’ve won 2 on the bounce, both away from home, whilst Solihull’s have picked up just 1 point from their last 4 games. They don’t even have the benefit of having played good teams, they lost to both Eastleigh and Braintree who sit below them in the table, and that one point came against relegation-bound Wealdstone.

I expect Oldham to win, but I’m giving Solihull some respect given some of their stronger form earlier in the season. I couldn’t put you off backing Oldham to win outright, but given the price I think playing it safer with them to win either half is a great bit of value.