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Leg 1: Arsenal To win
The Gunners have won 6 of their last 8 Premier League games and can move within 3 points of Liverpool here if they win on the south coast. Their rivals would have two games in hand but Arsenal have shown recently that they are not willing to give up their title charge without a fight. Their last two road games have been encouraging 5-1 and 3-1 wins vs Palace and Brentford respectively. They’ve done this mostly without Bukayo Saka and Arsenal on the road are starting to become a reliable team. Brighton have drawn a lot of recent games but failed to win any of their last seven Premier League contests.
Arsenal have a good record at this venue, winning 3 of their last 4 visits with the last two being comfortable 3-0 and 4-2 wins. Mikel Arteta’s men can deliver the win and it looks like a good time to face Brighton with the likes of Danny Welbeck, Pervis Estupinian and Mats Wieffer all doubtful with injury.
Leg 2: Gabriel Jesus To Have 1+ sHOTS ON Target
The return to form of Gabriel Jesus has been a massive boost for Arsenal recently. He had a long Premier League goal drought but has put in some inspired performances during the Christmas period. Jesus scored a hat-trick against Palace in the EFL cup before grabbing a brace against them in the league. He also scored against Brentford and has generally looked sharp, focused and a problem for opponents.
Taking the Brazilian striker just to have one or more shots on target looks like a great option whilst he’s in this sort of form. He’s fired in 10 shots in his last four EPL fixtures, with 4 of them finding the target. It wouldn’t be a surprise to see him score again but as a bare minimum we should expect him to test the goalkeeper at least once.
Leg 3: Kaoru Mitoma To Have 2+ Shots
The Brighton starting XI is always difficult to predict but Kaoru Mitoma should lineup on the left hand side of the Brighton attack. The home side are the underdogs here but it’s worth mentioning that they average the 6th most shots per game in the Premier League (14.80). They have several individuals who love to have a crack at goal and Mitoma is one of those candidates. He averages 1.80 shots per 90 mins so looks a massive price just to have two shots here. In the last three matches he started, Mitoma covered this line so if he gets enough minutes on the field then he should get opportunities.
He will cut inside and sometimes operate more centrally, plus Brighton could get some chances on the break. Odds of 2.0 look far too big for him just to have 2 shots or more and very much worth adding to your bet builder. Arsenal’s current starting right back Jurrien Timber is suspended for this game which should also aid his chances..
LEG 4: Over 4.5 Arsenal Corners
Everyone knows how dangerous Arsenal are from set pieces so Brighton will do their best to stop them getting any. But that is easier said than done and we should expect the visitors to once again target corners in this match. Arsenal average the joint third most corners in the Premier League (6.20) so taking them on the over 4.5 corner line looks like a safe addition to your bet builder. Brighton concede an average of 4.90 but are likely to come under significantly more pressure here compared to normal.
Unless Arsenal take a comfortable early lead and ease off then we should see them threaten plenty of flag kicks, especially as it benefits them as a team. The Gunners are so strong from set pieces that they are in a position to actually play for them when the opportunity arises.
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Brighton vs Arsenal Predicted Lineups
Brighton vs Arsenal Team Stats
Brighton vs Arsenal Shots and shots on target stats
Brighton vs Arsenal Goals and Assists Stats
Brighton Cards and Fouls Stats
Arsenal Cards and Fouls Stats
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