Brentford vs Arsenal Stats Pack, Bet Builder Tips and Predictions

We have crafted a 4 Leg Brentford vs Arsenal Bet Builder ahead of the first Premier League fixture of 2025.

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Leg 1: Both tEAMS tO score

Brentford’s home and away records have been night and day this season, and Arsenal should be wary of this trip to the Gtech Community Stadium on Wednesday night.

The Bees have seen both teams score in 8 of their 9 league games here this season, with this bet failing to land just once, in their 2-0 defeat at the hands of second-placed Nottingham Forest. Before that clash, Brentford had scored 3+ goals in 5 straight home games, and they look a good price to get on the scoresheet here.

Even away from home few sides have been able to shut out Thomas Frank’s side, with Brentford drawing a blank in just 4 of their 18 Premier League games this season. Furthermore, Brentford have kept only 2 clean sheets in these 18 games, both coming away from home against sides with blunt attacking units in Everton and Brighton.

The Gunners may be missing Bukayo Saka, but they still have more than enough tools to unlock what is a weak Brentford defence. This bet will come down to whether or not the hosts can score, and with Arsenal conceding in 7 straight Premier League away games, that looks likely.

Leg 2: Brentford Goalkeeper To Make 4+ Saves

Brentford’s lack of defensive solidity has contributed to a series of unflattering statistics that have them as the side requiring the most saves per game (4.83) from their goalkeeper, alongside conceding the most shots per game (18.4) and most shots on target per game (6.00).

They are joined in these metrics by Southampton and Leicester, which shows just how easily teams are able to generate chances against them. Across 18 Premier League games this season, the Bees have seen their goalkeeper make at least 4 saves on 12 occasions.

Thomas Frank’s side have faced every top-half side bar Arsenal, and have seen their goalkeeper make 4+ saves in 7 of these 9 clashes, including all 4 games against the rest of the sides in the top 5. Across their last 5 league games, 4 have seen Flekken or Valdimarsson make 4 or more saves.

Arsenal, meanwhile, have forced at least 4 saves in 3 of their last 5 saves. They may not have piled up the shots on target against too many teams this season, but they have a great chance to do so against this Brentford defence.

Leg 3: Vitaly Janelt To Commit 1+ Fouls

Janelt averages 0.96 fouls per 90 in the Premier League this season. Heading into this clash he has fouled in 6 of his last 7 starts for Brentford, and in 7 of his last 8 league games in which he played over 30 minutes. He recorded multiple fouls twice in this span, notching 3 fouls against Fulham, and 3 against Aston Villa.

He will be up against Thomas Partey and Declan Rice, who average 1.10 and 0.56 fouls won per 90 respectively. As the right-sided midfielder in the three, he may also be asked to come across to cover Myles Lewis-Skelly, Arsenal’s young left-back who is winning 2.69 fouls per 90 in the Premier League.

Partey has won 7 fouls in his last 7 league starts for the Gunners, most of which were as a makeshift defender. In his last 7 league starts as a midfielder, he has won a total of 9 fouls. Rice could also win a foul from Janelt, having drawn a foul in 2 straight Premier League games.

Leg 4: Nathan Collins To Commit 1+ Fouls

Collins has fouled 10 times in his last 9 games for Brentford in all competitions, fouling in 7 of these 9 games. For the season he averages 0.72 fouls per 90, but his recent foul spree means he is averaging 1.11 fouls per 90 across this 9-game sample, dating back to the start of November.

Collins has featured in 7 games in all competitions against sides in the top-7 of the Premier League, fouling in 5 of those 7 games. Generally, the tougher the opposition, the more likely the centre-back is to foul.

Here he will be faced with two attacking players who are likely to get stuck in, with Kai Havertz (1.04 fouls won per 90) leading the line, and Leandro Trossard (1.07) drifting central from his left wing position. Trossard has won fouls in 5 of his last 6 league starts for Arsenal, whilst Havertz has won 9 fouls in his last 9 league games.

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